Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
1
Value bet: St. Lucia to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBermuda to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.17
St. Lucia vs Bermuda preview and prediction
The match
The CONCACAF Nations League sees St. Lucia take on Bermuda on Tuesday 29 September, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Darren Sammy National Cricket Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for St. Lucia and 1.3 for Bermuda. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. Lucia 34%, draw 24%, Bermuda 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Value angle: St. Lucia to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: St. Lucia 1–1 Bermuda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. Lucia34%fair 2.91 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Bermuda42%fair 2.39 · @2.15
2.50Expected goals
1.17St. Lucia xG
1.33Bermuda xG
61%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: St. Lucia 1.2 – 1.3 Bermuda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bermuda to win✗
42%
2.39
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bermuda / FT Bermuda✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.17
–
Form
St. Lucia – last 2
LL
26 Sep
@ Barbados
0–2
L
27 Mar
@ Azerbaijan
1–6
L
0.5Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bermuda – last 2
LL
25 Sep
vs Guadeloupe
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ Cape Verde Islands
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Lucia and Bermuda.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win St. Lucia vs Bermuda?
On our numbers St. Lucia have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bermuda 42%.
How many goals will there be in St. Lucia vs Bermuda?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Lucia vs Bermuda?
Our predicted score is St. Lucia 1–1 Bermuda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is St. Lucia vs Bermuda?
St. Lucia vs Bermuda (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Darren Sammy National Cricket Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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