Bonaire travel to SKNFA Technical Center in the CONCACAF Nations League on Monday 28 September (22:00 WAT) to face Cuba.
Form guide
Bonaire's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to St. Kitts and Nevis 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Cuba and 0.8 for Bonaire. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cuba 72%, draw 16%, Bonaire 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.45, above our fair price of 1.94, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cuba 2–1 Bonaire. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cuba72%fair 1.38 · @1.15
Draw16%fair 6.41 · @7.00
Bonaire12%fair 8.33 · @17.00
3.00Expected goals
2.25Cuba xG
0.75Bonaire xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cuba 2.2 – 0.8 Bonaire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cuba to win✓
72%
1.38
1.15
Double chance
Cuba or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
2.45 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Cuba ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cuba / FT Cuba✓
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
13%
7.95
–
Form
Cuba – last 2
WD
25 Sep
@ Grenada
3–0
W
26 Mar
@ Martinique
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bonaire – last 3
LLW
26 Sep
vs St. Kitts and Nevis
1–2
L
30 Mar
vs Saint Martin
0–3
L
27 Mar
vs St. Vincent Grenadines
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cuba and Bonaire.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.45.
Who will win Cuba vs Bonaire?
On our numbers Cuba have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Bonaire 12%.
How many goals will there be in Cuba vs Bonaire?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cuba vs Bonaire?
Our predicted score is Cuba 2–1 Bonaire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cuba vs Bonaire?
Cuba vs Bonaire (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at SKNFA Technical Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Curaçao6
Nicaragua1
Dominica0
Puerto Rico2
Trinidad and Tobago1
Dominican Republic2
Guadeloupe2
Barbados2
Suriname2
Martinique1