Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCuraçao to win ✓71% · @1.36
Double chanceCuraçao or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.83
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 4–1 ✗5% · fair 18.22
Curaçao vs Nicaragua preview and prediction
The match
The CONCACAF Nations League sees Curaçao take on Nicaragua on Monday 28 September, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Ergilio Hato Stadium.
Form guide
Curaçao's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Costa Rica 4–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Nicaragua's last 4: LLDL Most recently they lost to Dominican Republic 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Curaçao arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 6.0 goals: 4.1 for Curaçao and 1.9 for Nicaragua. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Curaçao 4–1 Nicaragua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Curaçao71%fair 1.40 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.40
Nicaragua10%fair 10.43 · @7.50
6.00Expected goals
4.08Curaçao xG
1.92Nicaragua xG
65%Both score
94%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
4–15%
3–15%
4–25%
3–25%
5–14%
5–24%
From our goals model: Curaçao 4.1 – 1.9 Nicaragua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Curaçao to win✓
71%
1.40
1.36
Double chance
Curaçao or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.83 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Curaçao ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Curaçao / FT Curaçao✓
54%
1.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 4–1✗
5%
18.22
–
Form
Curaçao – last 6
WLDLWL
25 Sep
@ Costa Rica
4–3
W
25 Jun
vs Ivory Coast
0–2
L
21 Jun
@ Ecuador
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Germany
1–7
L
7 Jun
vs Aruba
4–0
W
30 May
@ Scotland
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nicaragua – last 4
LLDL
25 Sep
@ Dominican Republic
2–3
L
5 Jun
@ Paraguay
0–4
L
29 May
@ South Africa
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Russia
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Curaçao and Nicaragua.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Curaçao vs Nicaragua?
On our numbers Curaçao have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Nicaragua 10%.
How many goals will there be in Curaçao vs Nicaragua?
We expect about 6.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Curaçao vs Nicaragua?
Our predicted score is Curaçao 4–1 Nicaragua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.0 goals in total.
When is Curaçao vs Nicaragua?
Curaçao vs Nicaragua (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Ergilio Hato Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dominica0
Puerto Rico2
Trinidad and Tobago1
Dominican Republic2
Guadeloupe2
Barbados2
Cuba2
Bonaire0
Suriname2
Martinique1