Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Guadeloupe to win @ 1.85 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuadeloupe to win ✗65% · @1.85
Double chanceGuadeloupe or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.74
Guadeloupe vs Barbados preview and prediction
The match
Guadeloupe host Barbados in the CONCACAF Nations League on Monday 28 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Darren Sammy National Cricket Stadium.
Form guide
Barbados's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat St. Lucia 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Guadeloupe and 0.7 for Barbados. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Guadeloupe to win at 1.85 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Guadeloupe or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Guadeloupe 1–0 Barbados. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guadeloupe65%fair 1.54 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.20
Barbados15%fair 6.75 · @4.00
2.50Expected goals
1.81Guadeloupe xG
0.69Barbados xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Guadeloupe 1.8 – 0.7 Barbados expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadeloupe to win✗
65%
1.54
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Guadeloupe or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Guadeloupe ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadeloupe / FT Guadeloupe✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.74
–
Form
Guadeloupe – last 1
W
25 Sep
@ Bermuda
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Barbados – last 3
WLL
26 Sep
vs St. Lucia
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs St. Vincent Grenadines
2–3
L
26 Mar
@ Saint Martin
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadeloupe and Barbados.
What is the prediction for Guadeloupe vs Barbados?
Our pick is Guadeloupe or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Guadeloupe vs Barbados?
On our numbers Guadeloupe have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Barbados 15%.
How many goals will there be in Guadeloupe vs Barbados?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadeloupe vs Barbados?
Our predicted score is Guadeloupe 1–0 Barbados, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Guadeloupe vs Barbados?
Guadeloupe vs Barbados (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Darren Sammy National Cricket Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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