Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Jamaica to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultJamaica to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceJamaica or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.48
Jamaica vs Guatemala preview and prediction
The match
The CONCACAF Nations League sees Jamaica take on Guatemala on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Jamaica's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat India 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Guatemala's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Ecuador 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Jamaica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Jamaica and 0.7 for Guatemala. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Jamaica to win at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Jamaica or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jamaica 1–0 Guatemala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jamaica62%fair 1.62 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.30
Guatemala13%fair 7.75 · @4.33
2.43Expected goals
1.75Jamaica xG
0.68Guatemala xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Jamaica 1.7 – 0.7 Guatemala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jamaica to win✓
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Jamaica or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Jamaica ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jamaica / FT Jamaica✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.48
–
Form
Jamaica – last 3
WDW
27 May
vs India
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Congo DR
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ New Caledonia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Guatemala – last 3
LLL
7 Jun
@ Ecuador
0–3
L
5 Jun
@ Czech Republic
1–3
L
27 Mar
@ Algeria
0–7
L
0.3Scored / game
4.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jamaica and Guatemala.
Our pick is Jamaica or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Jamaica vs Guatemala?
On our numbers Jamaica have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guatemala 13%.
How many goals will there be in Jamaica vs Guatemala?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jamaica vs Guatemala?
Our predicted score is Jamaica 1–0 Guatemala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Jamaica vs Guatemala?
Jamaica vs Guatemala (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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