Value bet: St. Lucia to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt. Lucia to win ✗51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Barbados vs St. Lucia preview and prediction
The match
The CONCACAF Nations League sees Barbados take on St. Lucia on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Barbados and 1.7 for St. Lucia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barbados 29%, draw 20%, St. Lucia 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: St. Lucia to win at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Barbados 1–1 St. Lucia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barbados29%fair 3.50 · @2.90
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.50
St. Lucia51%fair 1.96 · @2.10
2.87Expected goals
1.18Barbados xG
1.69St. Lucia xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Barbados 1.2 – 1.7 St. Lucia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Lucia to win✗
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Lucia / FT St. Lucia✗
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.41
–
Form
Barbados – last 2
LL
29 Mar
vs St. Vincent Grenadines
2–3
L
26 Mar
@ Saint Martin
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
St. Lucia – last 1
L
27 Mar
@ Azerbaijan
1–6
L
1.0Scored / game
6.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barbados and St. Lucia.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Barbados vs St. Lucia?
On our numbers Barbados have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 20% and St. Lucia 51%.
How many goals will there be in Barbados vs St. Lucia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barbados vs St. Lucia?
Our predicted score is Barbados 1–1 St. Lucia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Barbados vs St. Lucia?
Barbados vs St. Lucia (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Jamaica3
Guatemala2
Honduras2
Suriname3
El Salvador3
Martinique1
Montserrat3
British Virgin Islands0
Saint Martin0
US Virgin Islands2
St. Vincent Grenadines2
French Guyana1