Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLa Fiorita to win ✓76% · @1.11
Double chanceLa Fiorita or draw ✓94% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.28
La Fiorita vs Murata preview and prediction
The match
The Campionato sees La Fiorita take on Murata on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 20:15 (WAT). La Fiorita are 6th with 16 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Murata sit 14th on 4 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
La Fiorita's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Domagnano 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Murata's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Cosmos 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
La Fiorita arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.5 for La Fiorita and 0.6 for Murata. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: La Fiorita 76%, draw 18%, Murata 6%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: La Fiorita 3–0 Murata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
La Fiorita76%fair 1.32 · @1.11
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @8.00
Murata6%fair 16.56 · @15.00
3.09Expected goals
2.46La Fiorita xG
0.63Murata xG
45%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
3–011%
1–011%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: La Fiorita 2.5 – 0.6 Murata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Fiorita to win✓
76%
1.32
1.11
Double chance
La Fiorita or draw✓
94%
1.06
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
La Fiorita ahead at half-time✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Fiorita / FT La Fiorita✗
53%
1.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.28
–
Form
La Fiorita – last 6
WDDDLL
19 Sep
@ Domagnano
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ Fiorentino
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs San Marino Academy
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Virtus
0–0
D
14 Jul
vs UNA Strassen
0–2
L
7 Jul
@ UNA Strassen
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Murata – last 6
LLLWLL
18 Sep
vs Cosmos
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs San Giovanni
0–2
L
9 Sep
vs Virtus
0–3
L
6 Sep
@ Pennarossa
4–1
W
28 Aug
@ Folgore
0–5
L
26 Apr
@ Juvenes Dogana
2–5
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Fiorita and Murata.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win La Fiorita vs Murata?
On our numbers La Fiorita have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Murata 6%.
How many goals will there be in La Fiorita vs Murata?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Fiorita vs Murata?
Our predicted score is La Fiorita 3–0 Murata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is La Fiorita vs Murata?
La Fiorita vs Murata (Campionato) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
