Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLibertas to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.20
Cailungo vs Libertas preview and prediction
The match
The Campionato sees Cailungo take on Libertas on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 20:15 (WAT). Cailungo are 12th with 6 points from 8 games (in the bottom half), while Libertas sit 9th on 9 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cailungo's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat San Giovanni 3–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Libertas's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Faetano 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.8 for Cailungo and 1.7 for Libertas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 44%.
Our pre-match pick was Libertas to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cailungo 0–1 Libertas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cailungo22%fair 4.58 · @3.20
Draw14%fair 7.09 · @3.50
Libertas64%fair 1.56 · @1.95
2.52Expected goals
0.80Cailungo xG
1.72Libertas xG
44%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Cailungo 0.8 – 1.7 Libertas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertas to win✓
64%
1.56
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertas / FT Libertas✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.20
–
Form
Cailungo – last 6
WLLLLL
20 Sep
@ San Giovanni
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Tre Penne
0–2
L
9 Sep
@ Pennarossa
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Folgore
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Domagnano
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Virtus
1–6
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Libertas – last 6
DLLWDL
18 Sep
vs Faetano
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Virtus
0–2
L
9 Sep
vs Folgore
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Juvenes Dogana
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Cosmos
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Virtus
0–9
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cailungo and Libertas.
Our pick is Libertas to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Cailungo vs Libertas?
On our numbers Cailungo have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Libertas 64%.
How many goals will there be in Cailungo vs Libertas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cailungo vs Libertas?
Our predicted score is Cailungo 0–1 Libertas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cailungo vs Libertas?
Cailungo vs Libertas (Campionato) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
