Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra

Leones del Norte

WWLLD
1–1
FT

Guayaquil City FC

DWLWD

Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC prediction & analysis

67%
Footrivo pick

Leones del Norte to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.73Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLeones del Norte to win ✗67% · @1.73
Double chanceLeones del Norte or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.26

Win chances

Leones del Norte67%fair 1.49 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @3.40
Guayaquil City FC13%fair 7.89 · @5.00
2.43Expected goals
1.81Leones del Norte xG
0.62Guayaquil City FC xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–09%

From our goals model: Leones del Norte 1.8 – 0.6 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Leones del Norte are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 13% for Guayaquil City FC.

Leones del Norte have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Guayaquil City FC have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. Guayaquil City FC come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.4 goals (1.8 for Leones del Norte, 0.6 for Guayaquil City FC). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).

In their last 3 meetings, Leones del Norte have won 0, Guayaquil City FC have won 0 and 3 ended level, with an average of 1.3 goals per game.

Our pick is Leones del Norte to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is better than our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeones del Norte to win ✗67%1.491.73 ▲
Double chanceLeones del Norte or draw ✓87%1.151.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.951.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.30
Half-time resultLeones del Norte ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leones del Norte / FT Leones del Norte ✗42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.26–

Form

Leones del Norte – last 6

WWLLDL
31 Oct@ Emelec2–0W
25 Octvs Libertad4–1W
18 Octvs Emelec1–3L
9 Oct@ Libertad0–3L
20 Sep@ Guayaquil City FC1–1D
13 Sepvs Tecnico Universitario0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Guayaquil City FC – last 6

DWLWDW
1 Novvs Libertad0–0D
25 Oct@ Emelec1–0W
18 Oct@ Libertad0–4L
10 Octvs Emelec3–2W
20 Sepvs Leones del Norte1–1D
12 Sepvs Mushuc Runa SC3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Sep 2026Guayaquil City FC v Leones del Norte1–1
23 Jul 2026Leones del Norte v Guayaquil City FC1–1
23 Mar 2026Guayaquil City FC v Leones del Norte0–0

More Liga Pro predictions

FT Aucas2 Independiente del Valle4 262351 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.44 ✓ FT Barcelona SC1 LDU de Quito1 372439 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓ FT Macara2 Universidad Catolica2 392437 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✗ FT Deportivo Cuenca2 Orense SC0 372835 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓ FT Libertad0 Emelec1 452332 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?

Our pick is Leones del Norte to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?

On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Guayaquil City FC 13%.

How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

When is Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?

Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.