Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Macara vs Universidad Catolica prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Macara to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Macara 1.3 – 1.2 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Macara and Universidad Catolica on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Macara have taken 18 points from their last 6 matches (6W 0D 0L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.3 per game. Universidad Catolica have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. Macara come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Macara, 1.2 for Universidad Catolica). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (10%).
In their last 3 meetings, Macara have won 1, Universidad Catolica have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Macara to win at 2.80 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Macara to win ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | 2.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Macara / FT Macara ✗ | 21% | 4.67 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.70 | – |
Form
Macara – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Barcelona SC | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ LDU de Quito | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Independiente del Valle | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Universidad Catolica | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Aucas | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Emelec | 1–0 | W |
Universidad Catolica – last 6
| 5 Nov | @ LDU de Quito | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Nov | vs Aucas | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Oct | vs LDU de Quito | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Oct | @ Independiente del Valle | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Barcelona SC | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Macara | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 11 Oct 2026 | Universidad Catolica v Macara | 0–1 |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Macara v Universidad Catolica | 1–1 |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Universidad Catolica v Macara | 4–0 |
More Liga Pro predictions
Aucas2
Independiente del Valle4
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
67%@1.44
✓
FT
Barcelona SC1
LDU de Quito1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
77%@1.28
✓
FT
Deportivo Cuenca2
Orense SC0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
64%@1.50
✓
FT
Leones del Norte1
Guayaquil City FC1
1Leones del Norte to win
67%@1.73
✗
FT
Libertad0
Emelec1
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
76%@1.28
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Macara vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Macara vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers Macara have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Universidad Catolica 37%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Macara vs Universidad Catolica?
Macara vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.