Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar

Deportivo Cuenca

LWWDD
2–0
FT

Orense SC

DWDDL

Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Orense SC to win @ 3.60 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✓37% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.28

Win chances

Deportivo Cuenca37%fair 2.71 · @2.35
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @2.62
Orense SC35%fair 2.83 · @3.60
2.24Expected goals
1.13Deportivo Cuenca xG
1.11Orense SC xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.1 – 1.1 Orense SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Deportivo Cuenca and Orense SC on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 28% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Deportivo Cuenca have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Orense SC have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.2 goals (1.1 for Deportivo Cuenca, 1.1 for Orense SC). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 37%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (12%).

In their last 3 meetings, Deportivo Cuenca have won 0, Orense SC have won 2 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.56. For a bigger price, Orense SC to win at 3.60 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✓37%2.712.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.44
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.962.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.561.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.221.14
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Cuenca / FT Deportivo Cuenca ✓20%4.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.28–

Form

Deportivo Cuenca – last 6

LWWDDD
31 Oct@ Delfin SC1–3L
25 Oct@ Manta FC2–0W
16 Octvs Tecnico Universitario2–1W
11 Oct@ Orense SC0–0D
20 Sepvs Mushuc Runa SC1–1D
13 Sep@ LDU de Quito1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Orense SC – last 6

DWDDLL
2 Novvs Tecnico Universitario1–1D
25 Octvs Delfin SC4–0W
19 Oct@ Mushuc Runa SC1–1D
11 Octvs Deportivo Cuenca0–0D
21 Sep@ Manta FC1–2L
15 Sep@ Universidad Catolica1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Oct 2026Orense SC v Deportivo Cuenca0–0
16 Aug 2026Orense SC v Deportivo Cuenca2–0
22 Apr 2026Deportivo Cuenca v Orense SC1–3

More Liga Pro predictions

FT Aucas2 Independiente del Valle4 262351 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.44 ✓ FT Barcelona SC1 LDU de Quito1 372439 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓ FT Macara2 Universidad Catolica2 392437 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✗ FT Leones del Norte1 Guayaquil City FC1 672013 1Leones del Norte to win 67%@1.73 ✗ FT Libertad0 Emelec1 452332 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?

On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Orense SC 35%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC?

Deportivo Cuenca vs Orense SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.