Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Guayaquil City FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Guayaquil City FC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuayaquil City FC to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceGuayaquil City FC or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.52
Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad preview and prediction
The match
Libertad travel to face Guayaquil City FC in the Liga Pro on Sunday 1 November (22:00 WAT). Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48 points from 36 games, while Libertad sit 7th on 51 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Guayaquil City FC's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Emelec 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Libertad's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Leones del Norte 1–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 October 2026, finished Libertad 4–0 Guayaquil City FC. Across their last 3 meetings Guayaquil City FC have won 1, Libertad 1, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Guayaquil City FC and 0.7 for Libertad. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guayaquil City FC 62%, draw 22%, Libertad 16%.
Safer route: Guayaquil City FC or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Guayaquil City FC to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Guayaquil City FC or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Guayaquil City FC 1–0 Libertad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guayaquil City FC62%fair 1.61 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.00
Libertad16%fair 6.09 · @3.70
2.40Expected goals
1.69Guayaquil City FC xG
0.71Libertad xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Guayaquil City FC 1.7 – 0.7 Libertad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
Our pick is Guayaquil City FC or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
On our numbers Guayaquil City FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Libertad 16%.
How many goals will there be in Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
Our predicted score is Guayaquil City FC 1–0 Libertad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?
Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
