Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Independiente del Valle or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Independiente del Valle to win @ 1.75 – our chance 66% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓66% · @1.75
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.18
Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Independiente del Valle take on LDU de Quito on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil. Independiente del Valle are 1st with 84 points from 35 games, while LDU de Quito sit 4th on 54 points. A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Independiente del Valle's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Delfin SC 3–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
LDU de Quito's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Universidad Catolica 2–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished LDU de Quito 0–2 Independiente del Valle.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Independiente del Valle and 0.7 for LDU de Quito. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independiente del Valle 66%, draw 23%, LDU de Quito 12%.
Safer route: Independiente del Valle or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Independiente del Valle to win at 1.75 – 66% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Independiente del Valle or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Independiente del Valle 1–0 LDU de Quito. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente del Valle66%fair 1.52 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.30
LDU de Quito12%fair 8.54 · @3.90
2.63Expected goals
1.93Independiente del Valle xG
0.70LDU de Quito xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 1.9 – 0.7 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
66%
1.52
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✗
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and LDU de Quito 12%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 1–0 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito?
Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
