Universidad Catolica vs Aucas prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Universidad Catolica or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Universidad Catolica to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✗87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.98
Universidad Catolica vs Aucas preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Universidad Catolica take on Aucas on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54 points from 36 games, while Aucas sit 5th on 54 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Universidad Catolica's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with LDU de Quito 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Aucas's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Barcelona SC 0–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Universidad Catolica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 September 2026, finished Universidad Catolica 1–1 Aucas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Universidad Catolica and 0.6 for Aucas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Universidad Catolica 62%, draw 25%, Aucas 13%.
Safer route: Universidad Catolica or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Universidad Catolica to win at 1.75 – 62% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Universidad Catolica or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Universidad Catolica 1–0 Aucas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universidad Catolica62%fair 1.60 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.10
Aucas13%fair 7.91 · @4.00
2.31Expected goals
1.69Universidad Catolica xG
0.62Aucas xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.7 – 0.6 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✗
62%
1.60
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Universidad Catolica or draw✗
87%
1.14
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✗
What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
Our pick is Universidad Catolica or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aucas 13%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–0 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Universidad Catolica vs Aucas?
Universidad Catolica vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
