Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte preview and prediction
The match
Guayaquil City FC host Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT). Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48 points from 36 games, while Leones del Norte sit 9th on 47 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Guayaquil City FC's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Mushuc Runa SC 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Leones del Norte's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Tecnico Universitario 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Guayaquil City FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 July 2026, finished Leones del Norte 1–1 Guayaquil City FC. Across their last 2 meetings Guayaquil City FC have won 0, Leones del Norte 0, with 2 draws and 1.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Guayaquil City FC and 1.0 for Leones del Norte. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guayaquil City FC 43%, draw 24%, Leones del Norte 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.91. Predicted score: Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Leones del Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guayaquil City FC43%fair 2.32 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.80
Leones del Norte33%fair 3.01 · @2.90
2.20Expected goals
1.20Guayaquil City FC xG
1.00Leones del Norte xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Guayaquil City FC 1.2 – 1.0 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Guayaquil City FC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leones del Norte 33%.
How many goals will there be in Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte?
Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
