Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEmelec to win ✗66% · @1.67
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✗86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.14
Emelec vs Libertad preview and prediction
The match
Libertad travel to Estadio George Capwell in the Liga Pro on Sunday 20 September (01:00 WAT) to face Emelec. Emelec are 10th with 45 points from 36 games, while Libertad sit 7th on 51 points.
Form guide
Emelec's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Macara 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Libertad's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Independiente del Valle 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 September 2026, finished Libertad 1–1 Emelec.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Emelec and 0.5 for Libertad. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Emelec 66%, draw 20%, Libertad 14%.
Safer route: Emelec or draw (86%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Emelec to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Emelec 1–0 Libertad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Emelec66%fair 1.51 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.25
Libertad14%fair 7.18 · @4.80
2.10Expected goals
1.59Emelec xG
0.51Libertad xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.6 – 0.5 Libertad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Emelec to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Emelec vs Libertad?
On our numbers Emelec have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Libertad 14%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Libertad?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Libertad?
Our predicted score is Emelec 1–0 Libertad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs Libertad?
Emelec vs Libertad (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
