Value bet: Mushuc Runa SC to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMushuc Runa SC to win ✗37% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.39
Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Deportivo Cuenca take on Mushuc Runa SC on Sunday 20 September, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar. Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47 points from 36 games, while Mushuc Runa SC sit 12th on 43 points.
Form guide
Deportivo Cuenca's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with LDU de Quito 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Mushuc Runa SC's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Guayaquil City FC 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 August 2026, finished Deportivo Cuenca 0–0 Mushuc Runa SC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.1 for Mushuc Runa SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Mushuc Runa SC to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.86, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Mushuc Runa SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Cuenca37%fair 2.72 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.75
Mushuc Runa SC37%fair 2.68 · @2.90
2.25Expected goals
1.12Deportivo Cuenca xG
1.13Mushuc Runa SC xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.1 – 1.1 Mushuc Runa SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mushuc Runa SC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Mushuc Runa SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
