Macara vs Independiente del Valle prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Independiente del Valle to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✗65% · @1.62
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✗87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.71
Macara vs Independiente del Valle preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Pro sees Macara take on Independiente del Valle on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bellavista. Macara are 2nd with 67 points from 36 games, while Independiente del Valle sit 1st on 84 points. A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Macara's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Universidad Catolica 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Independiente del Valle's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Aucas 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Independiente del Valle 3–1 Macara.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Macara and 2.1 for Independiente del Valle. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Macara 13%, draw 21%, Independiente del Valle 65%.
Safer route: Independiente del Valle or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Independiente del Valle to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Macara 0–2 Independiente del Valle. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Macara13%fair 7.64 · @4.50
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.50
Independiente del Valle65%fair 1.53 · @1.62
2.97Expected goals
0.85Macara xG
2.12Independiente del Valle xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Macara 0.9 – 2.1 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✗
65%
1.53
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✗
What is the prediction for Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Macara have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Independiente del Valle 65%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Macara 0–2 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Independiente del Valle?
Macara vs Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
