Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Iran U23 to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIran U23 to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceIran U23 or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.34
Iran U23 vs Korea DPR U23 preview and prediction
The match
Iran U23 host Korea DPR U23 in the Asian Games on Wednesday 23 September, with kick-off at 06:30 (WAT) at Wave Stadium Kariya. Iran U23 are 3rd with 4 points from 3 games, while Korea DPR U23 sit 2nd on 4 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Korea DPR U23's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with UAE U23 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.3 for Iran U23 and 0.4 for Korea DPR U23. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely.
Value angle: Iran U23 to win at 1.80 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Iran U23 or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Iran U23 1–0 Korea DPR U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Iran U2362%fair 1.60 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Korea DPR U2315%fair 6.83 · @4.40
1.75Expected goals
1.33Iran U23 xG
0.42Korea DPR U23 xG
49%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Iran U23 1.3 – 0.4 Korea DPR U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iran U23 to win✗
62%
1.60
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Iran U23 or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iran U23 / FT Iran U23✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.34
–
Form
Iran U23 – last 2
DW
20 Sep
vs China PR U23
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ UAE U23
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Korea DPR U23 – last 3
DLD
20 Sep
vs UAE U23
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ China PR U23
1–2
L
28 Mar
@ China PR U23
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iran U23 and Korea DPR U23.
What is the prediction for Iran U23 vs Korea DPR U23?
Our pick is Iran U23 or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Iran U23 vs Korea DPR U23?
On our numbers Iran U23 have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Korea DPR U23 15%.
How many goals will there be in Iran U23 vs Korea DPR U23?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iran U23 vs Korea DPR U23?
Our predicted score is Iran U23 1–0 Korea DPR U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Iran U23 vs Korea DPR U23?
Iran U23 vs Korea DPR U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time) at Wave Stadium Kariya.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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