Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: China PR U23 to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChina PR U23 to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceChina PR U23 or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.46
China PR U23 vs UAE U23 preview and prediction
The match
The Asian Games sees China PR U23 take on UAE U23 on Wednesday 23 September, kicking off at 06:30 (WAT) at Toyota Stadium. China PR U23 are 1st with 5 points from 3 games, while UAE U23 sit 4th on 2 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
China PR U23's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Iran U23 0–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
UAE U23's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Korea DPR U23 0–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
China PR U23 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.3 for China PR U23 and 0.5 for UAE U23. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely.
Value angle: China PR U23 to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was China PR U23 or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: China PR U23 1–0 UAE U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
China PR U2360%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.90
UAE U2315%fair 6.45 · @4.20
1.75Expected goals
1.29China PR U23 xG
0.46UAE U23 xG
47%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: China PR U23 1.3 – 0.5 UAE U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
China PR U23 to win✗
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Double chance
China PR U23 or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT China PR U23 / FT China PR U23✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.46
–
Form
China PR U23 – last 6
DWWWWD
20 Sep
@ Iran U23
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Korea DPR U23
2–1
W
9 Jun
vs Tajikistan U23
3–0
W
6 Jun
vs Tajikistan U23
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Vietnam U23
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Korea DPR U23
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
UAE U23 – last 3
DLW
20 Sep
@ Korea DPR U23
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Iran U23
1–3
L
9 Jun
@ Thailand U23
5–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between China PR U23 and UAE U23.
What is the prediction for China PR U23 vs UAE U23?
Our pick is China PR U23 or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win China PR U23 vs UAE U23?
On our numbers China PR U23 have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and UAE U23 15%.
How many goals will there be in China PR U23 vs UAE U23?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for China PR U23 vs UAE U23?
Our predicted score is China PR U23 1–0 UAE U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is China PR U23 vs UAE U23?
China PR U23 vs UAE U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Japan U233
Thailand U230
Kyrgyz Republic U234
Hong Kong U230