Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.18
ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako preview and prediction
The match
The CAF Confederation Cup sees ES Zarzis take on Réal Bamako on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium.
Form guide
ES Zarzis's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat ES Hammam-Sousse 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Réal Bamako's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Vitesse 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Réal Bamako arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for ES Zarzis and 1.0 for Réal Bamako. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: ES Zarzis 42%, draw 13%, Réal Bamako 45%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 86% chance. Predicted score: ES Zarzis 0–1 Réal Bamako. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ES Zarzis42%fair 2.38
Draw13%fair 7.69
Réal Bamako45%fair 2.22
2.00Expected goals
0.97ES Zarzis xG
1.03Réal Bamako xG
41%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: ES Zarzis 1.0 – 1.0 Réal Bamako expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Réal Bamako to win✓
45%
2.22
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.18
–
Form
ES Zarzis – last 6
WLLLWL
11 Oct
vs ES Hammam-Sousse
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Club Africain
0–1
L
16 Sep
vs US Monastirienne
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Diambars
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs Diambars
3–1
W
29 Aug
@ CS Sfaxien
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Réal Bamako – last 6
DWWWDL
11 Sep
vs Vitesse
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Vitesse
2–1
W
13 Jun
vs US Bougouba
4–0
W
9 Jun
@ Djoliba
1–0
W
5 Jun
vs Afrique Football Élite
0–0
D
31 May
@ ASKO
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ES Zarzis and Réal Bamako.
What is the prediction for ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 86% chance.
Who will win ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako?
On our numbers ES Zarzis have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Réal Bamako 45%.
How many goals will there be in ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako?
Our predicted score is ES Zarzis 0–1 Réal Bamako, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako?
ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako (CAF Confederation Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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