Value bet: CS Sfaxien to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFAD to win ✗37% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.34
AFAD vs CS Sfaxien preview and prediction
The match
The CAF Confederation Cup sees AFAD take on CS Sfaxien on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT).
Form guide
AFAD's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with SOA 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
CS Sfaxien's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for AFAD and 1.1 for CS Sfaxien. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFAD 37%, draw 27%, CS Sfaxien 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Value angle: CS Sfaxien to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AFAD 1–1 CS Sfaxien. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFAD37%fair 2.70 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.62
CS Sfaxien36%fair 2.79 · @3.10
2.25Expected goals
1.14AFAD xG
1.11CS Sfaxien xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: AFAD 1.1 – 1.1 CS Sfaxien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFAD to win✗
37%
2.70
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFAD / FT AFAD✗
20%
4.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.34
–
Form
AFAD – last 6
DLDDWW
4 Oct
vs SOA
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Bouaké
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ East End Lions
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs East End Lions
1–1
D
24 May
@ SOL
2–0
W
17 May
vs Olympique Sport d'Abobo
8–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CS Sfaxien – last 6
LWDWLW
10 Oct
@ Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs CA Bizertin
2–0
W
16 Sep
@ US Ben Guerdane
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Shooting Stars
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Shooting Stars
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs ES Zarzis
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFAD and CS Sfaxien.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win AFAD vs CS Sfaxien?
On our numbers AFAD have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CS Sfaxien 36%.
How many goals will there be in AFAD vs CS Sfaxien?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFAD vs CS Sfaxien?
Our predicted score is AFAD 1–1 CS Sfaxien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is AFAD vs CS Sfaxien?
AFAD vs CS Sfaxien (CAF Confederation Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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