Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Kaizer Chiefs to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKaizer Chiefs to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceKaizer Chiefs or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.22
Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs preview and prediction
The match
The CAF Confederation Cup sees Red Arrows take on Kaizer Chiefs on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Red Arrows's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Mufulira Wanderers 0–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kaizer Chiefs's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Stellenbosch 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Red Arrows arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.6 for Red Arrows and 1.4 for Kaizer Chiefs. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Red Arrows 19%, draw 21%, Kaizer Chiefs 61%.
Safer route: Kaizer Chiefs or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Kaizer Chiefs to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kaizer Chiefs or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Red Arrows 0–1 Kaizer Chiefs. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Red Arrows19%fair 5.38 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @2.90
Kaizer Chiefs61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
2.00Expected goals
0.59Red Arrows xG
1.41Kaizer Chiefs xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–119%
0–214%
0–014%
1–111%
1–28%
1–08%
From our goals model: Red Arrows 0.6 – 1.4 Kaizer Chiefs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kaizer Chiefs to win✗
61%
1.65
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Kaizer Chiefs or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kaizer Chiefs / FT Kaizer Chiefs✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.22
–
Form
Red Arrows – last 6
DWWWWW
10 Oct
vs Mufulira Wanderers
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Mutondo Stars
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Inate Rouge
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Inate Rouge
2–0
W
22 May
vs Green Buffaloes
2–0
W
14 May
vs Green Eagles
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kaizer Chiefs – last 6
DDDWDD
13 Oct
vs Stellenbosch
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Golden Arrows
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Polokwane City
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Siwelele
3–2
W
26 Aug
@ Richards Bay
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Red Arrows and Kaizer Chiefs.
What is the prediction for Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?
Our pick is Kaizer Chiefs or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?
On our numbers Red Arrows have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kaizer Chiefs 61%.
How many goals will there be in Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?
Our predicted score is Red Arrows 0–1 Kaizer Chiefs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?
Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs (CAF Confederation Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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