Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗23% · fair 4.30
Al-Markhiya vs Al Ahli Doha preview and prediction
The match
Al-Markhiya host Al Ahli Doha in the QSL Cup on Tuesday 29 September, with kick-off at 18:15 (WAT) at Grand Hamad Stadium.
Form guide
Al-Markhiya's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Lusail City 0–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Ahli Doha's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Al Shahaniya 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Al-Markhiya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.4 for Al-Markhiya and 0.6 for Al Ahli Doha. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Markhiya 31%, draw 20%, Al Ahli Doha 49%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 2.20.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.20, above our fair price of 1.90, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al-Markhiya 0–0 Al Ahli Doha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Markhiya31%fair 3.23 · @2.88
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50
Al Ahli Doha49%fair 2.05 · @2.05
1.00Expected goals
0.37Al-Markhiya xG
0.63Al Ahli Doha xG
47%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
0–123%
1–014%
1–19%
0–27%
1–23%
From our goals model: Al-Markhiya 0.4 – 0.6 Al Ahli Doha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahli Doha to win✗
49%
2.05
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
23%
4.30
–
Form
Al-Markhiya – last 6
LWWWWL
21 Sep
@ Lusail City
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Al Rayyan SC B
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Al-Gharafa B
3–0
W
23 Aug
@ Al-Khor
3–0
W
30 Apr
@ Al-Khor
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs Muaither SC
3–4
L
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al Ahli Doha – last 6
LLWDLD
20 Sep
vs Al Shahaniya
0–1
L
11 Sep
@ Al-Rayyan SC
0–3
L
3 Sep
vs Qatar SC
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Lusail City
3–3
D
22 Aug
@ Al Sadd
1–3
L
3 Aug
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Markhiya and Al Ahli Doha.
What is the prediction for Al-Markhiya vs Al Ahli Doha?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Al-Markhiya vs Al Ahli Doha?
On our numbers Al-Markhiya have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Ahli Doha 49%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Markhiya vs Al Ahli Doha?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Markhiya vs Al Ahli Doha?
Our predicted score is Al-Markhiya 0–0 Al Ahli Doha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Al-Markhiya vs Al Ahli Doha?
Al-Markhiya vs Al Ahli Doha (QSL Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Grand Hamad Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al-Khor0
UMM Salal2
Al Waab1
Lusail City1