Value bet: Al-Khor to win @ 2.88 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Khor to win ✗41% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.22
Al-Khor vs UMM Salal preview and prediction
The match
The QSL Cup sees Al-Khor take on UMM Salal on Tuesday 29 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Al Khor Stadium.
Form guide
Al-Khor's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Muaither SC 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
UMM Salal's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Al Kharaitiyat 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 September 2026, finished UMM Salal 1–5 Al-Khor.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Al-Khor and 1.1 for UMM Salal. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 46%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Al-Khor to win at 2.88 – 41% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 2.25, above our fair price of 1.95, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al-Khor 1–1 UMM Salal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Khor41%fair 2.46 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.50
UMM Salal37%fair 2.70 · @2.10
2.26Expected goals
1.17Al-Khor xG
1.09UMM Salal xG
46%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Al-Khor 1.2 – 1.1 UMM Salal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.
Who will win Al-Khor vs UMM Salal?
On our numbers Al-Khor have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UMM Salal 37%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Khor vs UMM Salal?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Khor vs UMM Salal?
Our predicted score is Al-Khor 1–1 UMM Salal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Al-Khor vs UMM Salal?
Al-Khor vs UMM Salal (QSL Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Al Khor Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al-Markhiya1
Al Ahli Doha1
Al Waab1
Lusail City1