Tuesday, 10 November 2026 54 live now Results recordHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
J League Cup · Japan · Ekimae Real Estate Stadium

Sagan Tosu

LLLLW
1–1
FTAET 2–1

Tokyo Verdy

LDWDL

Sagan Tosu vs Tokyo Verdy prediction & analysis

53%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.75Odds
1

Value bet: Sagan Tosu to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultSagan Tosu to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.36

Sagan Tosu vs Tokyo Verdy preview and prediction

The match

Sagan Tosu host Tokyo Verdy in the J League Cup on Tuesday 29 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Form guide

Sagan Tosu's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Montedio Yamagata 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Tokyo Verdy's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Urawa 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Sagan Tosu and 1.0 for Tokyo Verdy. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Sagan Tosu 1–1 Tokyo Verdy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sagan Tosu38%fair 2.61 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Tokyo Verdy38%fair 2.65 · @2.20
2.00Expected goals
1.00Sagan Tosu xG
1.00Tokyo Verdy xG
53%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Sagan Tosu 1.0 – 1.0 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSagan Tosu to win ✗38%2.612.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.871.75
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.36–

Form

Sagan Tosu – last 6

LLLLWW
26 Sep@ Montedio Yamagata0–2L
23 Sep@ Vissel Kobe0–1L
19 Sepvs Iwaki1–3L
12 Sep@ Imabari0–1L
5 Sepvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–0W
2 Sep@ Nara Club2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tokyo Verdy – last 6

LDWDLL
19 Sep@ Urawa1–3L
13 Sepvs JEF United Chiba1–1D
9 Sep@ Biwako Shiga1–0W
6 Sep@ Cerezo Osaka0–0D
2 Sepvs Vissel Kobe0–2L
29 Augvs Kashima0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sagan Tosu and Tokyo Verdy.

J League Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Yokohama F. Marinos6501+915
2Consadole Sapporo6312+310
3Jubilo Iwata6204-16
4Sagan Tosu6114-114

More J League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Ehime FC0 FC Tokyo2 116%8.00X17%4.80267%1.25 2FC Tokyo to win 67%@1.25 ✓
FT Fujieda MYFC1 Cerezo Osaka2 116%4.80X20%3.60264%1.57 2Cerezo Osaka to win 64%@1.57 ✓
FT Consadole Sapporo1 Fagiano Okayama2 116%4.75X20%3.90264%1.53 2Fagiano Okayama to win 64%@1.53 ✓
FT Kanazawa0 Shimizu S-pulse2 120%3.70X22%3.30258%1.80 X2Shimizu S-pulse or draw 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Roasso Kumamoto0 Kawasaki Frontale1 111%7.50X21%4.50268%1.30 2Kawasaki Frontale to win 68%@1.30 ✓
FT Kitakyushu1 Nagoya Grampus3 114%7.50X20%4.60266%1.30 NGNot both teams to score 58%@1.85 ✗
FT Osaka1 Avispa Fukuoka1 AET 1–2 119%5.00X19%3.80263%1.50 2Avispa Fukuoka to win 63%@1.50 ✗
FT Tochigi City0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima2 110%8.50X20%5.00271%1.25 2Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 71%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Tokyo Verdy?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Tokyo Verdy?

On our numbers Sagan Tosu have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tokyo Verdy 38%.

How many goals will there be in Sagan Tosu vs Tokyo Verdy?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sagan Tosu vs Tokyo Verdy?

Our predicted score is Sagan Tosu 1–1 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Sagan Tosu vs Tokyo Verdy?

Sagan Tosu vs Tokyo Verdy (J League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.