Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗33% · fair 3.01
Kitakyushu vs Nagoya Grampus preview and prediction
The match
Kitakyushu host Nagoya Grampus in the J League Cup on Tuesday 29 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.
Form guide
Kitakyushu's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Kagoshima United 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Nagoya Grampus's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to FC Tokyo 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Kitakyushu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.1 for Kitakyushu and 0.9 for Nagoya Grampus. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kitakyushu 14%, draw 20%, Nagoya Grampus 66%.
Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kitakyushu 0–0 Nagoya Grampus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kitakyushu14%fair 7.23 · @7.50
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @4.60
Nagoya Grampus66%fair 1.52 · @1.30
1.00Expected goals
0.10Kitakyushu xG
0.90Nagoya Grampus xG
42%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
0–133%
0–215%
0–34%
1–04%
1–13%
From our goals model: Kitakyushu 0.1 – 0.9 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nagoya Grampus to win✓
66%
1.52
1.30
Double chance
Nagoya Grampus or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
66%
1.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
33%
3.01
–
Form
Kitakyushu – last 6
DWLLLW
26 Sep
vs Kagoshima United
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Sagamihara
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Gainare Tottori
2–4
L
9 Sep
@ FC Ryukyu
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Ehime FC
2–4
L
2 Sep
vs Iwaki
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus – last 6
LLLLWL
19 Sep
@ FC Tokyo
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Machida Zelvia
1–3
L
2 Sep
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Fagiano Okayama
2–1
W
26 Aug
vs Gainare Tottori
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kitakyushu and Nagoya Grampus.
What is the prediction for Kitakyushu vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Kitakyushu vs Nagoya Grampus?
On our numbers Kitakyushu have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nagoya Grampus 66%.
How many goals will there be in Kitakyushu vs Nagoya Grampus?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kitakyushu vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our predicted score is Kitakyushu 0–0 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Kitakyushu vs Nagoya Grampus?
Kitakyushu vs Nagoya Grampus (J League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Mikuni World Stadium Kitakyushu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ehime FC0
FC Tokyo2
Fujieda MYFC1
Cerezo Osaka2
Consadole Sapporo1
Fagiano Okayama2
Kanazawa0
Shimizu S-pulse2
Roasso Kumamoto0
Kawasaki Frontale1
Osaka1
Avispa Fukuoka1
Tochigi City0
Kataller Toyama2
Urawa3