Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗22% · fair 4.54
Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima preview and prediction
The match
Tochigi City host Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J League Cup on Tuesday 29 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at City Football Station.
Form guide
Tochigi City's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Tokushima Vortis 0–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.4 for Tochigi City and 1.6 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tochigi City 10%, draw 20%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 71%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Tochigi City 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tochigi City10%fair 10.44 · @8.50
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @5.00
Sanfrecce Hiroshima71%fair 1.42 · @1.25
2.00Expected goals
0.37Tochigi City xG
1.63Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–122%
0–218%
0–014%
0–310%
1–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Tochigi City 0.4 – 1.6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win✓
71%
1.42
1.25
Double chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
22%
4.54
–
Form
Tochigi City – last 6
LLLDWW
26 Sep
@ Tokushima Vortis
0–3
L
23 Sep
@ Machida Zelvia
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Vegalta Sendai
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Kataller Toyama
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Consadole Sapporo
4–1
W
2 Sep
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6
WWLWDW
19 Sep
@ Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Cerezo Osaka
6–1
W
6 Sep
@ Fagiano Okayama
2–3
L
2 Sep
vs Nagoya Grampus
3–0
W
29 Aug
@ Gamba Osaka
0–0
D
26 Aug
vs Okinawa SV
4–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tochigi City and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
What is the prediction for Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
On our numbers Tochigi City have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 71%.
How many goals will there be in Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our predicted score is Tochigi City 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Tochigi City vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at City Football Station.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.