Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Fagiano Okayama to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
NG
Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFagiano Okayama to win ✓64% · @1.53
Double chanceFagiano Okayama or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗32% · fair 3.11
Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama preview and prediction
The match
The J League Cup sees Consadole Sapporo take on Fagiano Okayama on Tuesday 29 September, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Sapporo Dome.
Form guide
Consadole Sapporo's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Fagiano Okayama's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Kyoto Sanga 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Fagiano Okayama arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.1 for Consadole Sapporo and 0.9 for Fagiano Okayama. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Consadole Sapporo 16%, draw 20%, Fagiano Okayama 64%.
Safer route: Fagiano Okayama or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Not both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fagiano Okayama to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Fagiano Okayama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Consadole Sapporo16%fair 6.32 · @4.75
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.90
Fagiano Okayama64%fair 1.55 · @1.53
1.00Expected goals
0.13Consadole Sapporo xG
0.87Fagiano Okayama xG
44%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
0–132%
0–214%
1–05%
0–34%
1–14%
From our goals model: Consadole Sapporo 0.1 – 0.9 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fagiano Okayama to win✓
64%
1.55
1.53
Double chance
Fagiano Okayama or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
32%
3.11
–
Form
Consadole Sapporo – last 6
LDDLWL
26 Sep
@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Oita Trinita
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Vegalta Sendai
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Tochigi City
1–4
L
2 Sep
@ Kagoshima United
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Ventforet Kofu
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fagiano Okayama – last 6
LWWWLW
19 Sep
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Urawa
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–2
W
2 Sep
@ JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–2
L
26 Aug
vs Beluga Rosso Iwami
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Consadole Sapporo and Fagiano Okayama.
What is the prediction for Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our pick is Fagiano Okayama to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama?
On our numbers Consadole Sapporo have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Fagiano Okayama 64%.
How many goals will there be in Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our predicted score is Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama?
Consadole Sapporo vs Fagiano Okayama (J League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Sapporo Dome.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.