FA Cup · England
Torquay vs AFC Stoneham prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Torquay 1.8 – 0.4 AFC Stoneham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Torquay are clear favourites at home with a 76% chance of winning, against 10% for AFC Stoneham.
Torquay have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. AFC Stoneham have 4 points from their last 3 (1W 1D 1L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.8 for Torquay, 0.4 for AFC Stoneham). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 46% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (21%), 2–0 (19%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.85.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Torquay to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.11 |
| Double chance | Torquay or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | Torquay ahead at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.05 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Torquay / FT Torquay ✓ | 46% | 2.15 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 21% | 4.73 | – |
Form
Torquay – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Dorking Wanderers | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Sep | @ Maidenhead | 4–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Folkestone Invicta | 3–2 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Farnham Town | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Hampton & Richmond | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Dagenham & Redbridge | 0–2 | L |
AFC Stoneham – last 3
| 12 Sep | vs Didcot Town | 0–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Basingstoke Town | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Shaftesbury Town | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torquay and AFC Stoneham.
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What is the prediction for Torquay vs AFC Stoneham?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Torquay vs AFC Stoneham?
On our numbers Torquay have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 14% and AFC Stoneham 10%.
How many goals will there be in Torquay vs AFC Stoneham?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
When is Torquay vs AFC Stoneham?
Torquay vs AFC Stoneham (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.