FA Cup · England
Canvey Island vs Chelmsford City prediction & analysis
Chelmsford City or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.04 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Canvey Island 0.7 – 0.8 Chelmsford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Canvey Island and Chelmsford City on our numbers – 4% for the home side, 5% for the visitors and 91% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Canvey Island have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.0 per game. Chelmsford City have 8 points from their last 6 (1W 5D 0L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 1.5 goals (0.7 for Canvey Island, 0.8 for Chelmsford City). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–0 (22%), 0–1 (17%), 1–0 (17%).
Our pick is Chelmsford City or draw at a 96% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Draw ✗ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Double chance | Chelmsford City or draw ✓ | 96% | 1.04 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 93% | 1.07 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 29% | 3.40 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–0 ✗ | 22% | 4.48 | – |
Form
Canvey Island – last 6
| 12 Sep | vs Cambridge City | 3–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Newmarket | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Grays Athletic | 4–1 | W |
| 28 Jul | vs Aveley | 1–4 | L |
| 6 Apr | @ Billericay Town | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Mar | vs Chatham Town | 0–1 | L |
Chelmsford City – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Hampton & Richmond | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Sep | @ Dorking Wanderers | 3–3 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Salisbury | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ Weston-super-Mare | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Maidenhead | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Folkestone Invicta | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Canvey Island and Chelmsford City.
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What is the prediction for Canvey Island vs Chelmsford City?
Our pick is Chelmsford City or draw with a 96% chance.
Who will win Canvey Island vs Chelmsford City?
On our numbers Canvey Island have a 4% chance of winning, the draw 91% and Chelmsford City 5%.
How many goals will there be in Canvey Island vs Chelmsford City?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
When is Canvey Island vs Chelmsford City?
Canvey Island vs Chelmsford City (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.