Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWanderers to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceWanderers or draw ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.00
Wanderers vs Cerrito preview and prediction
The match
Wanderers host Cerrito in the Copa Uruguay on Thursday 24 September, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Wanderers's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Danubio 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cerrito's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with CA River Plate 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Wanderers and 0.8 for Cerrito. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Wanderers to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Wanderers 1–0 Cerrito. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wanderers64%fair 1.56 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.20
Cerrito14%fair 7.29 · @4.50
2.75Expected goals
1.96Wanderers xG
0.79Cerrito xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Wanderers 2.0 – 0.8 Cerrito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wanderers to win✗
64%
1.56
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Wanderers or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Wanderers ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wanderers / FT Wanderers✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.00
–
Form
Wanderers – last 6
DDLLDW
20 Sep
@ Danubio
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Club Nacional
1–1
D
10 Sep
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Deportivo Maldonado
0–2
L
1 Sep
vs Cerro
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Central Espanol
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cerrito – last 6
DDWLLL
20 Sep
vs CA River Plate
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Atenas
0–0
D
10 Sep
@ Cerro
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Paysandu
1–2
L
2 Sep
vs Deportivo Maldonado
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Sportivo Huracan
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wanderers and Cerrito.
Our pick is Wanderers to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Wanderers vs Cerrito?
On our numbers Wanderers have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cerrito 14%.
How many goals will there be in Wanderers vs Cerrito?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wanderers vs Cerrito?
Our predicted score is Wanderers 1–0 Cerrito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Wanderers vs Cerrito?
Wanderers vs Cerrito (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cerro1
Deportivo Maldonado2
Danubio1
Penarol1
Atletico Torque3
Atenas3