Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.44Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.40 – our chance 56% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +91%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗56% · @3.40
Double chanceRecreativo Huelva or draw ✓79% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗12% · fair 8.23
Motril vs Recreativo Huelva preview and prediction
The match
Motril host Recreativo Huelva in the Copa Federacion on Wednesday 9 September, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Motril's last 5: DDLDD Most recently they drew with Huétor Vega 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Recreativo Huelva's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Atlético Central 0–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Recreativo Huelva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Motril and 1.4 for Recreativo Huelva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 52%.
Safer route: Recreativo Huelva or draw (79%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Draw at 3.40 – 56% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Recreativo Huelva or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Motril 1–1 Recreativo Huelva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Motril21%fair 4.68 · @2.50
Draw56%fair 1.78 · @3.40
Recreativo Huelva23%fair 4.43 · @2.40
2.73Expected goals
1.35Motril xG
1.38Recreativo Huelva xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Motril 1.4 – 1.4 Recreativo Huelva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
56%
1.78
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Recreativo Huelva or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Recreativo Huelva / FT Recreativo Huelva✓
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
12%
8.23
–
Form
Motril – last 6
DDLDDW
5 Sep
@ Huétor Vega
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs Arenas Armilla
1–1
D
31 May
@ Arenas Armilla
0–1
L
24 May
vs Churriana Vega
0–0
D
17 May
@ Churriana Vega
1–1
D
10 May
vs Atlético Porcuna
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Recreativo Huelva – last 6
LWWLWW
6 Sep
@ Atlético Central
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Bollullos
2–0
W
28 Jul
vs Dos Hermanas
3–1
W
22 Jul
vs Real Betis
0–1
L
10 May
vs Chiclana
2–1
W
3 May
vs Xerez Deportivo
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Motril and Recreativo Huelva.
What is the prediction for Motril vs Recreativo Huelva?
Our pick is Recreativo Huelva or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Motril vs Recreativo Huelva?
On our numbers Motril have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Recreativo Huelva 23%.
How many goals will there be in Motril vs Recreativo Huelva?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motril vs Recreativo Huelva?
Our predicted score is Motril 1–1 Recreativo Huelva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Motril vs Recreativo Huelva?
Motril vs Recreativo Huelva (Copa Federacion) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.