Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCompostela to win ✗61% · @1.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · fair 1.23
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.67
Compostela vs Derio preview and prediction
The match
Compostela host Derio in the Copa Federacion on Wednesday 9 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Compostela's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Marino de Luanco 0–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Derio's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Real Sociedad III 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Compostela and 0.9 for Derio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Compostela 61%, draw 19%, Derio 20%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Compostela to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Compostela 1–0 Derio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Compostela61%fair 1.63 · @1.55
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.60
Derio20%fair 5.03 · @5.50
2.78Expected goals
1.86Compostela xG
0.92Derio xG
47%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Compostela 1.9 – 0.9 Derio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Compostela to win✗
61%
1.63
1.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Compostela ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Compostela / FT Compostela✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.67
–
Form
Compostela – last 6
LLLWWL
6 Sep
vs Marino de Luanco
0–3
L
18 Jul
vs Deportivo La Coruna
0–4
L
21 Jun
@ Badalona II
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Badalona II
3–0
W
7 Jun
vs Atlético Arteixo
2–1
W
31 May
@ Atlético Arteixo
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Derio – last 6
DLLLLW
5 Sep
vs Real Sociedad III
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Sestao River
0–1
L
15 Jul
vs Athletic Club
0–3
L
6 Jun
@ Leioa
0–1
L
31 May
vs Leioa
0–1
L
24 May
vs Lagun Onak
2–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Compostela and Derio.
Our pick is Compostela to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Compostela vs Derio?
On our numbers Compostela have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Derio 20%.
How many goals will there be in Compostela vs Derio?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Compostela vs Derio?
Our predicted score is Compostela 1–0 Derio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Compostela vs Derio?
Compostela vs Derio (Copa Federacion) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Badalona II1
Sestao River1
Torrent1
Saguntino2
Motril0
Recreativo Huelva2
CF Talavera0
Navalcarnero0