Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.40 – our chance 54% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +84%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓54% · @3.40
Double chanceSestao River or draw ✓82% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓13% · fair 7.96
Badalona II vs Sestao River preview and prediction
The match
Badalona II host Sestao River in the Copa Federacion on Wednesday 9 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Badalona II's last 4: LDWL Most recently they lost to Espanyol II 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sestao River's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Racing Santander II 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sestao River arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Badalona II and 1.4 for Sestao River. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Badalona II 18%, draw 54%, Sestao River 28%.
Safer route: Sestao River or draw (82%) at 1.28.
Value angle: Draw at 3.40 – 54% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sestao River or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Badalona II 1–1 Sestao River. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Badalona II18%fair 5.43 · @3.10
Draw54%fair 1.85 · @3.40
Sestao River28%fair 3.63 · @2.00
2.57Expected goals
1.19Badalona II xG
1.38Sestao River xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Badalona II 1.2 – 1.4 Sestao River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
54%
1.85
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Sestao River or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✓
13%
7.96
–
Form
Badalona II – last 4
LDWL
15 Aug
vs Espanyol II
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ L'Hospitalet
2–2
D
21 Jun
vs Compostela
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ Compostela
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sestao River – last 6
WWDLWD
6 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Derio
1–0
W
11 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Athletic Club
0–2
L
3 May
vs Utebo
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Amorebieta
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Badalona II and Sestao River.
What is the prediction for Badalona II vs Sestao River?
Our pick is Sestao River or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Badalona II vs Sestao River?
On our numbers Badalona II have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 54% and Sestao River 28%.
How many goals will there be in Badalona II vs Sestao River?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Badalona II vs Sestao River?
Our predicted score is Badalona II 1–1 Sestao River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Badalona II vs Sestao River?
Badalona II vs Sestao River (Copa Federacion) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Compostela1
Derio1
Torrent1
Saguntino2
Motril0
Recreativo Huelva2
CF Talavera0
Navalcarnero0