Alfreton Town vs Stratford Town prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Alfreton Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlfreton Town to win ✗58% · @1.70
Double chanceAlfreton Town or draw ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Alfreton Town vs Stratford Town preview and prediction
The match
Stratford Town travel to face Alfreton Town in the FA Cup on Saturday 5 September (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Alfreton Town's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Whitby Town 4–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Stratford Town's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Racing Club Warwick 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Alfreton Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Alfreton Town and 1.1 for Stratford Town. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alfreton Town 58%, draw 23%, Stratford Town 19%.
Safer route: Alfreton Town or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alfreton Town or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Alfreton Town 2–1 Stratford Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alfreton Town58%fair 1.71 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.00
Stratford Town19%fair 5.27 · @3.50
3.15Expected goals
2.05Alfreton Town xG
1.10Stratford Town xG
50%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Alfreton Town 2.0 – 1.1 Stratford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alfreton Town to win✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Double chance
Alfreton Town or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Alfreton Town ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alfreton Town / FT Alfreton Town✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
Alfreton Town – last 6
WLWLLW
31 Aug
@ Whitby Town
4–1
W
29 Aug
vs Rylands
1–2
L
25 Aug
vs Hyde United
4–0
W
22 Aug
@ Stockton Town
0–2
L
18 Aug
@ Cleethorpes Town
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Avro
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Stratford Town – last 6
DLLLDD
31 Aug
@ Racing Club Warwick
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Needham Market
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Real Bedford
1–6
L
15 Aug
vs Bury Town
1–3
L
11 Aug
vs Redditch United
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Worcester City
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alfreton Town and Stratford Town.
What is the prediction for Alfreton Town vs Stratford Town?
Our pick is Alfreton Town or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alfreton Town vs Stratford Town?
On our numbers Alfreton Town have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stratford Town 19%.
How many goals will there be in Alfreton Town vs Stratford Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alfreton Town vs Stratford Town?
Our predicted score is Alfreton Town 2–1 Stratford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Alfreton Town vs Stratford Town?
Alfreton Town vs Stratford Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.