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FA Cup · England

Cambridge City vs Maldon & Tiptree prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2

Value bet: Maldon & Tiptree to win @ 2.25 – our chance 54% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultMaldon & Tiptree to win ✗54% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.53

Win chances

Cambridge City27%fair 3.70 · @2.55
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.60
Maldon & Tiptree54%fair 1.87 · @2.25
3.32Expected goals
1.34Cambridge City xG
1.98Maldon & Tiptree xG
56%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
0–27%
2–16%
2–26%

From our goals model: Cambridge City 1.3 – 2.0 Maldon & Tiptree expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Maldon & Tiptree shade it despite being away from home – 54% to win, against 27% for Cambridge City.

Cambridge City have taken 4 points from their last 3 matches (1W 1D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Maldon & Tiptree have 9 points from their last 5 (3W 0D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

We expect around 3.3 goals (1.3 for Cambridge City, 2.0 for Maldon & Tiptree). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (7%).

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.55. For a bigger price, Maldon & Tiptree to win at 2.25 is our value angle (54% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMaldon & Tiptree to win ✗54%1.872.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.79–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.551.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.74–
Half-time resultMaldon & Tiptree ahead at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Maldon & Tiptree / FT Maldon & Tiptree ✗33%3.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.53–

Form

Cambridge City – last 3

DLW
29 Augvs Redbridge1–1D
11 Julvs Cambridge United1–3L
6 Apr@ Takeley2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Maldon & Tiptree – last 5

WLWLW
22 Aug@ Leatherhead4–1W
15 Augvs Dartford1–2L
11 Augvs Aveley1–0W
8 Aug@ Dulwich Hamlet0–6L
6 Apr@ Heybridge Swifts3–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cambridge City and Maldon & Tiptree.

More FA Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cambridge City vs Maldon & Tiptree?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Cambridge City vs Maldon & Tiptree?

On our numbers Cambridge City have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Maldon & Tiptree 54%.

How many goals will there be in Cambridge City vs Maldon & Tiptree?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

When is Cambridge City vs Maldon & Tiptree?

Cambridge City vs Maldon & Tiptree (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.