FA Cup · England
Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cleethorpes Town 2.4 – 1.1 Newcastle Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cleethorpes Town are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 14% for Newcastle Town.
Cleethorpes Town have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 0.8 per game. Newcastle Town have 3 points from their last 2 (1W 0D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Cleethorpes Town come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.5 goals (2.4 for Cleethorpes Town, 1.1 for Newcastle Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.45.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cleethorpes Town to win ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.27 |
| Double chance | Cleethorpes Town or draw ✗ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Half-time result | Cleethorpes Town ahead at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cleethorpes Town / FT Cleethorpes Town ✗ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.54 | – |
Form
Cleethorpes Town – last 6
| 31 Aug | @ Gainsborough Trinity | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs Curzon Ashton | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Aug | vs Whitby Town | 6–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Ilkeston Town | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | vs Alfreton Town | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Warrington Town | 1–1 | D |
Newcastle Town – last 2
| 29 Aug | vs Bourne Town | 0–3 | L |
| 6 Apr | vs Kidsgrove Athletic | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cleethorpes Town and Newcastle Town.
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What is the prediction for Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town?
On our numbers Cleethorpes Town have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Newcastle Town 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town?
Cleethorpes Town vs Newcastle Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.