Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Veles to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVeles to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceVeles or draw ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.61
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.89
Murom vs Veles preview and prediction
The match
Veles travel to face Murom in the Cup on Wednesday 9 September (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Murom's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Dinamo Vologda 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Veles's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with FC UFA 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.8 for Murom and 1.6 for Veles. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Murom 20%, draw 22%, Veles 58%.
Safer route: Veles or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.61.
Value angle: Veles to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Veles or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Murom 0–1 Veles. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Murom20%fair 5.03 · @3.24
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.46
Veles58%fair 1.71 · @1.95
2.41Expected goals
0.79Murom xG
1.62Veles xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–212%
1–112%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Murom 0.8 – 1.6 Veles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Veles to win✗
58%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Veles or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.61
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.99
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Veles / FT Veles✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.89
–
Form
Murom – last 6
WWLDDW
30 Aug
vs Dinamo Vologda
2–1
W
27 Aug
@ 2Drots
3–0
W
23 Aug
@ Baltika II
0–3
L
16 Aug
vs Yenisey II
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Metallurg Lipetsk
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Chertanovo Moscow
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Veles – last 6
DWWWLW
5 Sep
@ FC UFA
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Tekstilshchik
1–0
W
24 Aug
vs Arsenal Tula
2–0
W
19 Aug
vs Nizhny Novgorod
3–2
W
15 Aug
@ Ska-khabarovsk
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Leningradets
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Murom and Veles.
Our pick is Veles or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Murom vs Veles?
On our numbers Murom have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Veles 58%.
How many goals will there be in Murom vs Veles?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murom vs Veles?
Our predicted score is Murom 0–1 Veles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Murom vs Veles?
Murom vs Veles (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Volna Nizhegorodskaya2
Rotor Volgograd0
Znamya Noginsk0
Ska-khabarovsk4
Kaluga1
FC UFA0
Dinamo Kirov1
KAMAZ0
FK Sokol Saratov1
Leningradets1
Volgar Astrakhan0
Volga Ulyanovsk0
Dinamo Stavropol1
Nizhny Novgorod2
Chertanovo Moscow1
FK Neftekhimik1