Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.89 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC UFA to win ✗67% · @1.59
Double chanceFC UFA or draw ✗90% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.62
Kaluga vs FC UFA preview and prediction
The match
FC UFA travel to face Kaluga in the Cup on Wednesday 9 September (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Kaluga's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Volgar Astrakhan 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
FC UFA's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Veles 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 0.9 for Kaluga and 2.4 for FC UFA. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kaluga 10%, draw 22%, FC UFA 67%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.86.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.89 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kaluga 0–2 FC UFA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kaluga10%fair 9.78 · @4.80
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.66
FC UFA67%fair 1.48 · @1.59
3.32Expected goals
0.92Kaluga xG
2.39FC UFA xG
56%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
0–38%
1–18%
1–38%
From our goals model: Kaluga 0.9 – 2.4 FC UFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC UFA to win✗
67%
1.48
1.59 ▲
Double chance
FC UFA or draw✗
90%
1.11
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.86
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.89 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.26
Half-time result
FC UFA ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC UFA / FT FC UFA✗
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
9.62
–
Form
Kaluga – last 6
DDWLDW
5 Sep
@ Volgar Astrakhan
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1–1
D
25 Aug
@ Avangard Kursk
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Dinamo Bryansk
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Mashuk-KMV
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Iskra Smolensk
5–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC UFA – last 6
DWWDLD
5 Sep
vs Veles
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ FK Neftekhimik
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Enisey
3–1
W
17 Aug
@ Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Ural
0–3
L
3 Aug
vs KAMAZ
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaluga and FC UFA.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kaluga vs FC UFA?
On our numbers Kaluga have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC UFA 67%.
How many goals will there be in Kaluga vs FC UFA?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaluga vs FC UFA?
Our predicted score is Kaluga 0–2 FC UFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Kaluga vs FC UFA?
Kaluga vs FC UFA (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.