Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Neftekhimik prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.63 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.63Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Neftekhimik to win ✗64% · @1.47
Double chanceFK Neftekhimik or draw ✓87% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.86
Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Neftekhimik preview and prediction
The match
FK Neftekhimik travel to face Chertanovo Moscow in the Cup on Wednesday 9 September (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
Chertanovo Moscow's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Cherepovets 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FK Neftekhimik's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Enisey 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Chertanovo Moscow arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.2 for Chertanovo Moscow and 2.5 for FK Neftekhimik. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chertanovo Moscow 13%, draw 23%, FK Neftekhimik 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.63, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chertanovo Moscow 1–2 FK Neftekhimik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chertanovo Moscow13%fair 7.53 · @5.30
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @4.15
FK Neftekhimik64%fair 1.56 · @1.47
3.73Expected goals
1.19Chertanovo Moscow xG
2.54FK Neftekhimik xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
0–28%
1–17%
0–37%
0–16%
From our goals model: Chertanovo Moscow 1.2 – 2.5 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Neftekhimik to win✗
64%
1.56
1.47
Double chance
FK Neftekhimik or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.41
Half-time result
FK Neftekhimik ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Neftekhimik / FT FK Neftekhimik✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.86
–
Form
Chertanovo Moscow – last 6
WDWWWW
6 Sep
vs Cherepovets
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Spartak Moscow 2
1–1
D
26 Aug
@ KDV
4–2
W
23 Aug
vs Tver
4–0
W
15 Aug
@ Iskra Smolensk
3–0
W
12 Aug
vs Chita
3–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
WLWLLL
5 Sep
@ Enisey
2–0
W
28 Aug
vs FC UFA
0–1
L
24 Aug
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs FC Sochi
1–2
L
14 Aug
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Nizhny Novgorod
1–5
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chertanovo Moscow and FK Neftekhimik.
What is the prediction for Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.63.
Who will win Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Neftekhimik?
On our numbers Chertanovo Moscow have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FK Neftekhimik 64%.
How many goals will there be in Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Neftekhimik?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our predicted score is Chertanovo Moscow 1–2 FK Neftekhimik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Neftekhimik?
Chertanovo Moscow vs FK Neftekhimik (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.