Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVissel Kobe to win ✓63% · @1.44
Double chanceVissel Kobe or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu preview and prediction
The match
Sagan Tosu travel to Noevir Stadium in the Emperor Cup on Wednesday 23 September (09:00 WAT) to face Vissel Kobe.
Form guide
Vissel Kobe's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Gamba Osaka 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sagan Tosu's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Iwaki 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Vissel Kobe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Vissel Kobe and 1.1 for Sagan Tosu. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 62%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vissel Kobe63%fair 1.58 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.90
Sagan Tosu15%fair 6.89 · @5.80
3.50Expected goals
2.38Vissel Kobe xG
1.12Sagan Tosu xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Vissel Kobe 2.4 – 1.1 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vissel Kobe to win✓
63%
1.58
1.44
Double chance
Vissel Kobe or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Vissel Kobe ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vissel Kobe / FT Vissel Kobe✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Form
Vissel Kobe – last 6
WWWWWW
20 Sep
@ Gamba Osaka
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ Port FC
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Kashima
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs V-varen Nagasaki
3–1
W
2 Sep
@ Tokyo Verdy
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Cerezo Osaka
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sagan Tosu – last 6
LLWWDW
19 Sep
vs Iwaki
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Imabari
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Nara Club
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Yokohama FC
2–2
D
26 Aug
vs Kataller Toyama
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vissel Kobe and Sagan Tosu.
What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu?
On our numbers Vissel Kobe have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sagan Tosu 15%.
How many goals will there be in Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu?
Our predicted score is Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu?
Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Noevir Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gamba Osaka5
Tokushima Vortis0
Kashima3
Ventforet Kofu1
Kashiwa Reysol4
Imabari0
Kyoto Sanga1
Fujieda MYFC0
Machida Zelvia2
Tochigi City1