Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✓66% · @1.33
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.09
Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City preview and prediction
The match
The Emperor Cup sees Machida Zelvia take on Tochigi City on Wednesday 23 September, kicking off at 09:00 (WAT) at Machida GION Stadium.
Form guide
Machida Zelvia's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Kashiwa Reysol 2–4 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Tochigi City's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Vegalta Sendai 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Machida Zelvia and 0.9 for Tochigi City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Machida Zelvia 66%, draw 21%, Tochigi City 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Machida Zelvia 2–1 Tochigi City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Machida Zelvia66%fair 1.50 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @5.00
Tochigi City12%fair 8.01 · @6.00
3.11Expected goals
2.22Machida Zelvia xG
0.89Tochigi City xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 2.2 – 0.9 Tochigi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Machida Zelvia to win✓
66%
1.50
1.33
Double chance
Machida Zelvia or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Half-time result
Machida Zelvia ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia✓
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.09
–
Form
Machida Zelvia – last 6
LWDWWD
20 Sep
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–4
L
17 Sep
vs Svay Rieng
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Nagoya Grampus
3–1
W
2 Sep
vs Kawasaki Frontale
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Mito Hollyhock
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tochigi City – last 6
LDWWLW
20 Sep
vs Vegalta Sendai
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Kataller Toyama
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Consadole Sapporo
4–1
W
2 Sep
@ Vanraure Hachinohe
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Jubilo Iwata
1–3
L
26 Aug
@ Vegalta Sendai
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Machida Zelvia and Tochigi City.
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City?
On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tochigi City 12%.
How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City?
Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 2–1 Tochigi City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City?
Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Machida GION Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.