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Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Estadio Belvedere

Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✓60% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.90

Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River preview and prediction

The match

Boston River travel to Estadio Belvedere in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 6 September (23:30 WAT) to face Liverpool Montevideo. Liverpool Montevideo are 1st with 30 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Boston River sit 11th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Boston River 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Boston River's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 2 September 2026, finished Liverpool Montevideo 0–1 Boston River. Across their last 3 meetings Liverpool Montevideo have won 2, Boston River 1, with 0 draws and 1.0 goals per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Liverpool Montevideo and 0.8 for Boston River. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 45%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Boston River. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Liverpool Montevideo60%fair 1.68 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.30
Boston River20%fair 4.95 · @4.33
2.42Expected goals
1.63Liverpool Montevideo xG
0.79Boston River xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.6 – 0.8 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✓60%1.681.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.831.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo ✗35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.90–

Form

Liverpool Montevideo – last 6

LDWWWW
2 Sepvs Boston River0–1L
30 Aug@ Cerro Largo1–1D
27 Aug@ Fenix2–0W
21 Augvs Cerro4–0W
16 Aug@ Defensor Sporting4–0W
8 Augvs Albion FC1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Boston River – last 6

WDWDWL
2 Sep@ Liverpool Montevideo1–0W
29 Augvs Cerro1–1D
21 Aug@ Albion FC3–2W
14 Augvs Danubio0–0D
9 Aug@ Club Nacional2–1W
2 Aug@ Racing Montevideo0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Sep 2026Liverpool Montevideo v Boston River0–1
1 Jun 2026Boston River v Liverpool Montevideo0–1
10 Mar 2026Boston River v Liverpool Montevideo0–1
Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?

On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Boston River 20%.

How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?

Our predicted score is Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River?

Liverpool Montevideo vs Boston River (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Belvedere.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.