Value bet: Wanderers to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.44
Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Maldonado host Wanderers in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT). Deportivo Maldonado are 4th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Wanderers sit 10th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Deportivo Maldonado's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Cerrito 2–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Wanderers's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Cerro 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Wanderers 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado. Across their last 2 meetings Deportivo Maldonado have won 0, Wanderers 0, with 2 draws and 1.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Deportivo Maldonado and 1.2 for Wanderers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Wanderers to win at 3.60 – 34% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Deportivo Maldonado 1–1 Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Maldonado44%fair 2.28 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Wanderers34%fair 2.96 · @3.60
2.58Expected goals
1.40Deportivo Maldonado xG
1.18Wanderers xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maldonado 1.4 – 1.2 Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
On our numbers Deportivo Maldonado have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wanderers 34%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maldonado 1–1 Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
