Value bet: Atenas to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtenas to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.97
Paysandu vs Atenas preview and prediction
The match
Atenas travel to face Paysandu in the Segunda División on Saturday 29 August (23:00 WAT). Paysandu are 6th with 35 points from 25 games (in the top half), while Atenas sit 1st on 44 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Paysandu's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with CA River Plate 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Atenas's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Danubio 2–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Paysandu and 1.3 for Atenas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paysandu 35%, draw 26%, Atenas 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Atenas to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Paysandu 1–1 Atenas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paysandu35%fair 2.84 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.90
Atenas39%fair 2.55 · @2.75
2.55Expected goals
1.23Paysandu xG
1.32Atenas xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Paysandu 1.2 – 1.3 Atenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atenas to win✗
39%
2.55
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atenas / FT Atenas✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.97
–
Form
Paysandu – last 6
DLLWWW
22 Aug
vs CA River Plate
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Sportivo Huracan
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ Uruguay Montevideo
0–1
L
3 Aug
vs Oriental
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Colón
3–2
W
13 Jul
vs Fenix
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atenas – last 6
LDWWWL
26 Aug
@ Danubio
2–3
L
23 Aug
vs Sportivo Huracan
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Uruguay Montevideo
2–1
W
9 Aug
@ Oriental
1–0
W
3 Aug
vs Colón
4–1
W
26 Jul
@ Fenix
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paysandu and Atenas.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Paysandu vs Atenas?
On our numbers Paysandu have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atenas 39%.
How many goals will there be in Paysandu vs Atenas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paysandu vs Atenas?
Our predicted score is Paysandu 1–1 Atenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Paysandu vs Atenas?
Paysandu vs Atenas (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
