Value bet: Tacuarembo to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultColón to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.07
Colón vs Tacuarembo preview and prediction
The match
Colón host Tacuarembo in the Segunda División on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Colón are 3rd with 39 points from 25 games (in the top four), while Tacuarembo sit 13th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Colón's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Plaza Colonia 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Tacuarembo's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Fenix 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Colón arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Tacuarembo 2–0 Colón.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Colón and 0.9 for Tacuarembo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Colón 43%, draw 24%, Tacuarembo 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Tacuarembo to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: Colón 1–1 Tacuarembo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colón43%fair 2.30 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.80
Tacuarembo33%fair 3.06 · @3.30
2.10Expected goals
1.15Colón xG
0.95Tacuarembo xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Colón 1.2 – 0.9 Tacuarembo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Colón vs Tacuarembo?
On our numbers Colón have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tacuarembo 33%.
How many goals will there be in Colón vs Tacuarembo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colón vs Tacuarembo?
Our predicted score is Colón 1–1 Tacuarembo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Colón vs Tacuarembo?
Colón vs Tacuarembo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
