Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Uruguay Montevideo take on La Luz on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Uruguay Montevideo are 14th with 22 points from 25 games (in the bottom three), while La Luz sit 9th on 34 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Uruguay Montevideo's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Cerrito 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
La Luz's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Oriental 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished La Luz 2–0 Uruguay Montevideo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Uruguay Montevideo and 1.1 for La Luz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Uruguay Montevideo 37%, draw 27%, La Luz 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 La Luz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Uruguay Montevideo37%fair 2.68 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.62
La Luz35%fair 2.82 · @2.50
2.14Expected goals
1.09Uruguay Montevideo xG
1.05La Luz xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Uruguay Montevideo 1.1 – 1.1 La Luz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz?
On our numbers Uruguay Montevideo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and La Luz 35%.
How many goals will there be in Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz?
Our predicted score is Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 La Luz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz?
Uruguay Montevideo vs La Luz (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
