Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhu Dong to win ✓72% · @1.30
Double chancePhu Dong or draw ✓91% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.85
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.85
Phu Dong vs Thanh Hóa preview and prediction
The match
Thanh Hóa travel to Ninh Binh Stadium in the V.League 1 on Friday 11 September (12:00 WAT) to face Phu Dong. Phu Dong are 3rd with 51 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Thanh Hóa sit 11th on 25 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Phu Dong's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Hai Phong 4–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Thanh Hóa's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Da Nang 3–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Phu Dong arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Thanh Hóa 0–2 Phu Dong.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 3.5 for Phu Dong and 1.5 for Thanh Hóa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Phu Dong 72%, draw 19%, Thanh Hóa 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Phu Dong to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Phu Dong 3–1 Thanh Hóa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Phu Dong72%fair 1.39 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @4.80
Thanh Hóa9%fair 10.79 · @8.00
5.00Expected goals
3.50Phu Dong xG
1.50Thanh Hóa xG
59%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–17%
4–16%
2–16%
3–25%
3–05%
4–25%
From our goals model: Phu Dong 3.5 – 1.5 Thanh Hóa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Phu Dong to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Phu Dong vs Thanh Hóa?
On our numbers Phu Dong have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Thanh Hóa 9%.
How many goals will there be in Phu Dong vs Thanh Hóa?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Phu Dong vs Thanh Hóa?
Our predicted score is Phu Dong 3–1 Thanh Hóa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Phu Dong vs Thanh Hóa?
Phu Dong vs Thanh Hóa (V.League 1) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Ninh Binh Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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