Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHo Chi Minh to win ✗40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.73
Bắc Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh preview and prediction
The match
Bắc Ninh host Ho Chi Minh in the V.League 1 on Friday 11 September, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Viet Yen Stadium.
Form guide
Bắc Ninh's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Song Lam Nghe An 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Ho Chi Minh's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Ha Noi 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Bắc Ninh 2–3 Ho Chi Minh.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Bắc Ninh and 1.2 for Ho Chi Minh. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bắc Ninh 35%, draw 25%, Ho Chi Minh 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Bắc Ninh 1–1 Ho Chi Minh. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bắc Ninh35%fair 2.84 · @2.88
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Ho Chi Minh40%fair 2.53 · @2.38
2.38Expected goals
1.14Bắc Ninh xG
1.23Ho Chi Minh xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bắc Ninh 1.1 – 1.2 Ho Chi Minh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bắc Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bắc Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh?
On our numbers Bắc Ninh have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ho Chi Minh 40%.
How many goals will there be in Bắc Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bắc Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh?
Our predicted score is Bắc Ninh 1–1 Ho Chi Minh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bắc Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh?
Bắc Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh (V.League 1) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Viet Yen Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
